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| Posted By: john hendrix Posted On: Aug 11, 2008 Views: 1797 | confusion Dear traders it is not clear why the dolar is gaining against the euro so dramaticly. The only thing which is clear for me is -and this I said before - is that there is no real relation between the Euro and the dollar in terms of value . The Euro is and was "to over-powered:" to the dollar. Also we can see again that money-trading is not at all logic all the time and also based on sentiment. My forecast is : 1 euro= 1,25 dollar this in 1 month let us see John |
| Posted By: farrukh kayani Posted On: Aug 10, 2008 Views: 1657 | re : support this all that happened on friday made me total confused.but lets look at it technically , euro should be at 1.54.. lets not forget usa economy is in total turmoil freedie and mortgage crisis is all still alive.usa eceonomy is still exhausted ,inflation is sky rocketing.. usa fed is confused what to do.uk eceonomy is doing extremely poor .it won't be wrong if i say uk is in recession.i m very much sure it should at euro/dollar 1.54 calcualtions from intrest rate differentials.intrest rates rule.people who keep saying euro will reach 1.45 is not using some technical views.. bcz intrest rates drives the currecncy.currency market is extremly imbalanaced,georgia conflict is making a oil crisis.plus as oil is getting very low, there is going to be something new happeening soon.iran issue is still there.euro has to be near 1.54 whereas euro should reach 1.65 ,according to some economists.the minimum euro could reach is 1.48.. maximum is up to 1.65.after 2009 i would say euro would fall but not as long as usa eceonomy is in recession. |
| Posted By: m ali Posted On: Aug 10, 2008 Views: 1665 | where should eu/$ get supported from where fo u think it should go up? |
| Posted By: farrukh kayani Posted On: Aug 5, 2008 Views: 1751 | eur/usd to reach 1.5430 before move up now 1.5530 ,i m looking it will crash to 1.5430 before up move that will likely be strong if ECB holds hawkish tone again |
| Posted By: Farrukh Kayani Posted On: Jul 31, 2008 Views: 1742 | finally euro shows strength.should go up the expected strength is finally being seen in euro when it jumped to 1.57 .it was short lived tho but it is giving lift to euro for holding up and moving up.. |
| Posted By: Farrukh Kayani Posted On: Jul 29, 2008 Views: 1829 | eur/usd crashes again euro is down by 120 pips ,it was a dark day for euro .thats all i can say.it was total shocks and unexpoected euro negative news came in,, then followed by unexpected good news from usa.. that all made euro to suffer.. there is a slight relief that euro will face at end of this week as euro economy is possible to show good datas in coming days, as ECb belives.although usa data were still not worth that good but it was total profit taking which forced eur/usd to dive.. we have hope that many investor who wanted euro at 1.5550 are now happy and will be satisfied to join euro train to new highs.euro investors are totally confused these days.no one knows which direction euro may follow but kkic has been quoting euro at 1.62 in next 30 days.. |
| Posted By: Farrukh Kayani Posted On: Jul 28, 2008 Views: 1846 | eur/usd stable.. pound gbp tumbless again eur/gbp rose to .7925 from from .7880 as i told abt eur/gbp earlier.pound had a very sharp crash of 100 pips but recovered at end of trading..gbp/usd is still tumbling after extremely poor housing data..euro had a poor data too as i said even with poor datas euro should be 1.58 atleast cause usa economy has a meltdown.looking forward i still predict eur/usd should go up towards new highs possibly and eur/gbp expected level should be .7950 or more in next few days.i will watching for any new views.oil went up today and gave support to euro as expected.the strong strong up pulse will be soon seen as eur/usd has lot of lost pips. |
| Posted By: Farrukh Kayani Posted On: Jul 26, 2008 Views: 1710 | open warns oil will reach $200/barrel Now here there are few reasons.There was been recent attack by nato on pakistan borders which are sparking proests from pakistan,one of the so called closest allies of usa.both pakistan and usa are having tough times blaimg eachother.iranians have once again warned "they will stop world oil supplies if iran is attacked" the rising tensions may force dollar to be under extreme pressure next week.pakistani army chief has once again extended support that "pakistan army will be forced to protect iran if it is attacked".remember last time when unrest in pakistan caused extreme panic selling of usa dollars when benzair got killed..iran war seems to coming up with some new ideas.there is too much panic in middle east which will possibly cause unrest for usa dollar.on china side the terrorists threat to attack bejijing olympics.indian army attacks pakistan borders after (total 17 bombs )series of bomb attacked rocked through indian major cities in last few days.iran said oil could spike to $200 per barrel at the end of this yr.TEHRAN (Reuters) - Iran's OPEC governor said world oil prices could reach as high as $500 per barrel in a few years' time if the U.S. dollar falls further and political tension worsens, an Iranian weekly said.this all add to clues "oil would go up".. look out dangerous ride thats all i can say.. |
| Posted By: Farrukh Kayani Posted On: Jul 24, 2008 Views: 1709 | Eur/usd safe! crash is over now.. as i lastly warned that "another crash! not over yet" that crash or correction is over now as my calculations call for big upmove to 1.58 in the coming days.quite high confidence that eur/usd will go up and gbp/usd WILL CRASH. as eur/usd has bounced back from 1.5650 level the same level which is one of the very strong supports of eur/usd.that means eur/gbp goes up.very strong upmove in eur/gbp likely now.look for extreme strength in eur/usd in coming days that is looking for next 7 days.1.56 zone is illogical for eur/usd as usa economy is in total turmoil.banks are in mortgage crisis even if Eu shows negative datas still eur/usd should be around 1.58 atleast.signals: +++ long eur/usd . ++ long eur/gbp. -- short gbp/usd. |
| Posted By: m ali Posted On: Jul 23, 2008 Views: 1634 | eur vs usd ? mr kayani can u please give me some views about what do u think of euro vs dollar in near 1 week and eur vs gbp.i was stunned with eur/gbp signals and the way you tell about the currency moves is intresting and u get it all right! many thanks |
| Posted By: Farrukh Kayani Posted On: Jul 22, 2008 Views: 1650 | another crash! but not over yet 1.57-1.59 are areas euro is struck and now 1.5750 seems to the same areas from euro/usd starts a rally to new reacord highs ,as it has excatly what happned last three times.last three times euro rose from 1.5750 to 1.59 and then again two times. this all is creating a clear picture for eur/usd.signals: long eur/usd long gbp/usd neutral eur/gbp. |
| Posted By: Farrukh Kayani Posted On: Jul 22, 2008 Views: 1559 | eur/gbp may shows some profit taking we have been continously watching eur/gbp pair and now we have added that eur/gbp will take another dip as gbp has to to reach 2.02 level soon to maintians its ratio with other currencies.i am not saying euro will fall , i m saying gbp will gain more.euro is marching towards 1.6000 soon. |
| Posted By: Farrukh Kayani Posted On: Jul 21, 2008 Views: 1550 | clears 1.59 beaks the taboo eur/usd finally cleared the upper end resistance at 1.59 not 1.5880 which adds to clue eur/usd will contiue to be postiive eurgbp again gains 20pips.more up moves in eur/gbp highly likely |
| Posted By: Farrukh Kayani Posted On: Jul 20, 2008 Views: 1516 | 1.58 zone strucked.gathering momentum 1.58 is acting as a very strong support plus the realtive high moves in 1.58-1.59 show euro is gathering strength and momentum .eur/gbp will move up as it has gained more than 70 pips since my last analysis.i m still looking at 1.60 when the investors says euro is going to crash they have own intrests but for me its simple, graphs data , oil ,gold concludes euro will go up.if oil is down ,gold is down euro is down but for now its up so euro should reach 1.62 if it wants to maintains it realtion with oil prices,gold,etc.if 1.5740 is brken then its a warning sign but thats look diffcult to me as my calculation are looking for uptrend. |
| Posted By: Farrukh Kayani Posted On: Jul 18, 2008 Views: 1371 | eur/usd at support.what will happen? eur/usd is at very strong support 1.58 now at 1.5850 we are expecting it to move to 1.60 and very possibility 1.62 target ranges.1.62 is the point everyone has looks on.this weekeend traders failed to make any significant moves either sides but everyone got convinced euro should remain above 1.58. |
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