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| Posted By: Jim Posted On: Oct 5, 2005 Views: 7068 | AUD Can AUD hold or will it go south....Indicators in the futures market are pointing towards the down side. Any comments? |
| Posted By: Edward Posted On: Oct 4, 2005 Views: 7049 | AUD The differential interest rate between US and AUD is narrower and the FED has emphasized that interest rate will be increasing in the next two meetings in a measured basis. Can AUD still hold at 0.75 /0.76 level ? |
| Posted By: Carmen Posted On: Oct 3, 2005 Views: 7055 | Any additional Thoughts Any additional thoughts on the exchange rate for the year? Is $0.70 still in the picture? |
| Posted By: Lou Borrelli Posted On: Jul 25, 2005 Views: 8167 | AUD Aussie's in trouble. Domestically everything appears OK however as the effect of higher oil prices start to bite into world growth, commodity prices should start to ease and bring down the AUD with it. Aust economy should be able to withstand higher oil prices and see little pressure on inflation. This will continue to put a hold on interest rates, therfore the differential won't help the currency. |
| Posted By: Sweetie Posted On: Jul 25, 2005 Views: 8139 | Down, down, down Let's hope that Dave is right, although my time frame has extended till March 06 for the mid 60's level to be breached. Surely the impending house price collapse/extended plateau phase will give it a nudge down as consumer confidence and spending retract accordingly. |
| Posted By: Dave Posted On: Jul 22, 2005 Views: 8005 | AUD/US I think the .80 AUD/US level resistence will not be reached now especially after the China reval. and London problems. It may stay high for a very short time but will soon retreat as it always has done historically. Level of .65 or below will no doubt be here way before Christmas. Australia will loose its export levels at its current rate and oil levels must increase in price. With price pressures on commodities, and with the probability of the US to impose barriers to the China flood of imports we should see the downward trend in AUD. Also historically looking at the curve its all in place for the downward move. |
| Posted By: john macdonalds Posted On: May 20, 2005 Views: 8764 | The Osi to stay above USD0.74 The Ozi can still make it above the 0.80 but I cant see it going below 0.74 The drop in domestic demand and retails sales of which 90% is made in China will improve the trade deficit easing downwards pressure on the Ozi. . At the same time foreign investment will continue because of better returns then the US and other markets. The ASX at above 4000..>> http://www.asx.com.au/ is at a record high. Unemployment is at records low. Taxes are being reduce. 14 billion surplus. It the best its ever been. Chinas move on it RMB is not likely given the new protection tariffs implemented by the US and Europe. I can see a Symbolic move of 2 to 5% max subject to the US/Europe going back on the recent implement tariffs. At the end of the day. The huge Chinese work force mast be kept working at any price. |
| Posted By: john Posted On: May 17, 2005 Views: 8319 | aud vs usd i think right now there is sufficient resistance for the aud to go beyond 0.80. also in the short and medium term australia cannot export more due to limitation in its infractusture and lack of sufficient investment. in my opinion the usd will remain weak only until the us gov reacts to internal pressures due to the hugh comerc deficit and the social-employment impact of all the china made products flodding the usa. this reaction by the us gov may be in the form of pressure to the chinese to revalue (happening) o via imp barriers (already started). its a matter of time. if they do not react then the americans will struggle. this i think will triggle the reversal in the chart of the usd against all curr incl aud. i also believe that this meassuments will put pressure on oil and commodities import levels (and prices) from china which will further weaken the aud. then we will see once again a down trend until we once again see levels of mid usd 0.50 = aud 1.00. history always repeat itself. any one has a different view? |
| Posted By: sweetie Posted On: May 15, 2005 Views: 8314 | 65 cents by Christmas 70 cents in the next six months is looking a distinct possibility - 65 is only wishful thinking but stranger things have happened |
| Posted By: Jimmy the Blowfly Posted On: Apr 5, 2005 Views: 9008 | 0.65 by christmas Well, we have just had our interest rates held over, the AUD has reacted and is still in the zone. Anyone have a feeling on this, interest rate movement and what the Euro is up to please? |
| Posted By: Forex Directory Posted On: Mar 21, 2005 Views: 7662 | Rip Off Solution If you're looking to open an account with a broker or a training firm or research house, then you may want to first check Network Solutions. (http://www.networksolutions.com), and click on "who is" at the top of their page. Next step, enter the url address of the site your wish to enquire on, it should then tell you who the owner/registrant is of the site. If you find that there is no name published, then it is a "no name" business, and the owners do not want to be identified. This should tell you a lot. If you find that many of the sites you are enquiring about are located in Latvia, this too should tell you a lot. After all, what is the population of this country? and more importantly, what is the size of their forex community? Further, if you wish to open an account with a broker or fund, then you should make sure they are registered with their local Self Regulatory Agency, such as the NFA/CFTC in the u.s. Buyer Beware! |
| Posted By: sam Posted On: Mar 20, 2005 Views: 7303 | THAT is an amazing website and I really appreciate your help. Thank you. I jotted down all the Mar 16 hourly open, hi, lo, closes. Per the banner scrolling at the bottom of that web page, "0" hour = 4:30 PM Eastern Standard Time. I point that out because the only two times it hit that low of .7881 that day was between 5:30 and 7:30 EST that day. I am pretty sure that thay are not trading that time of day out of St.Louis, so I am suspect about that banner legend. Starting at 4:30 doesn't seem quite right, plus the crosshair is to the left of the 16 on the x axis when those prices and times are being quoted. Matter of fact, when scrolling with the crosshair and the information window open, March 16 0:00 hour starts about a 1/4" to the right of 15 on the x axis. But nonetheless, I have good info for my conversation with them. Sadly, given that I am a cynic, I realize that this is probably all meaningless. My bet is that they are going to stonewall, not provide me with a trade time and price, and effectively force me to go somewhere else if I don't like the way they do things. Perhaps the biggest value of this exercise is getting good information from people as kind as yourself. Thanks, and if anything good happens I'll be sure to post. Sam |
| Posted By: Forex Directory Posted On: Mar 20, 2005 Views: 7208 | re: intraday prices Sam if you're going to use prices then you should make sure that they are real tradeable prices from a broker and not comingled composite rates which don't exist such as from the firm you mention. To view historical "real" prices, go to http://www.forexdirectory.net/chartsfx.html or the australian dollar page by choosing its' flag and select the australian dollar from the drop down menu "instruments" and then select "view" and "information" to see the high and low you're looking for. These are actual prices from saxobank, not composite. Good Luck |
| Posted By: sam Posted On: Mar 20, 2005 Views: 6855 | intraday currency prices Had an aussie CD come due 3/16. Everbank charges 75 bp's to cash out. Cash out price was .7806. March 15 aussie close .789043 March 16 aussie close .794603 March 17 aussie close .793500 all info from x-rates I find it very hard to believe that March 16 intradays lows slipped to .7881 before closing at .794603. Anyone with any ideas on how to find out? They pulled this BS with me on the yen, and I acquiesced. It's not going to happen a second time. But do I really have any recourse? I just can't wait to hear their version of this on Monday. Thanks Sam |
| Posted By: Raj Posted On: Mar 16, 2005 Views: 6166 | A$ It struggled to go past 80 in the past.As it stands today, it may soon reach 80 within next couple of days in view of the latest oil and commodity price situ. |
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