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Posted By: Surfer_

Posted On: May 13, 2004
Views: 3396
Rose

Àãà, êðîâè áóäåò íàâàëîì... Ýòî áóäåò ðåâîëþöèÿ øèïàñòîé ðîçû. Ïðè÷¸ì âî ãëàâå áóäåò íåáîñü êàêîé-íèáóäü õåðîâ ýñåíáýøíèê


Posted By: girl of 19

Posted On: Apr 7, 2004
Views: 3234
Point

From my poimt of view it's too difficult to beleive that such revolution will take place in Uzbekistan in near future. As u know uzbek people are tooooooooooooooooooo tolerant.


Posted By: Akram

Posted On: Mar 17, 2004
Views: 4552
Good

Good analysis. Agree.


Posted By: unnamed

Posted On: Mar 16, 2004
Views: 3380
not yet

even though the countries have a number of similarities, they differ significantly in many factors, predictors or grounds for velv. revol.
a)opposition is non-existent in Uzb.
b)no "messaging" channells are available to to consolidate efforts throughout country
c)Presidents are different - Karimov will rather kill millions of people than step down. He has too much to loose + selfish + arrogant + narrow minded + conceited + too high selfesteem
d)there are too many powerful(wealthy) people who would oppose any bud of revol, since they will also loose too much (might be held accountable for prior crimes, will loose "competitive edge" in making money
d)no leader is around (or at least will be cut as soon as he comes out) who not only will be able to bring all the people together for the true cause, but also will be competent in running the country into competetive international market
e)no resources available to support the initiative,
f)US role has been too obvious and to some extent discredited it, so it would be a while until the US will be willing to initiate anything like this
g)All NIS presidents are getting under the protection of Russia to save them from being toppled over and taking unprecedented measures.
and many more factors.


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